One of the most challengeable problems in pattern recognition domain is financial time series forecasting which
aims to exactly estimate the cost value variations of a particular object in future. One of the best well-known financial time
series prediction methods is Neural Network (NN) but it suffers from parameter tuning such as number of neuron in hidden
layer, learning rate and number of periods that should be forecasted. To solve the problem, this paper proposes a new meta-
heuristic-based parameter tuning scheme which is based on Harmony Search (HS). To improve the exploration and
exploitation rates of HS, the control parameters of HS are adapted during the generations. Evaluation of the proposed method
on several financial times series datasets shows the efficiency of the improved HS on parameter setting of NN for time series
prediction.
[1] Box G. Jenkins G., Time Series Analysis:
Forecasting and Control, Holden Day, 1970.
[2] Bozic J. and Babic D., “Financial Time Series
Forecasting Using Hybrid Wavelet-Neural
Model,” The International Arab Journal of
Information Technology, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 50-
57, 2018.
[3] Brillinger D., Time Series. Data Analysis and
Theory, Holt, Rinehart and Winston Inc., 1975.
[4] Das S. and Suganthan P., “Differential Evolution:
A Survey of the State-of-the-Art,” IEEE
Transactions on Evolutionary Computation, vol.
15, no. 1, pp. 4-31, 2011.
[5] Gao X., Wang X., and Ovaska S., “Modified
Harmony Search Methods for Uni-Modal and
Multi-Modal Optimization,” in Proceedings of 8th
International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent
Systems, Barcelona, pp. 65-72, 2008.
[6] Geem Z., Kim J., and Loganathan G., “A New
Heuristic Optimization Algorithm: Harmony
Search. Simulation,” Journals SAGE, vol. 76, no.
2, pp. 60-68, 2001.
[7] Global Stock Markets, https://www.quandl.com/
c/markets/global-stock-markets, Last Visited,
2015.
[8] Hannan E., Multiple Time Series, John Wiley and
Sons, 1979.
[9] Haykin S., Neural Networks, Macmillan College
Publishing Company, 1999.
[10] Holland J., “Genetic Algorithms,” Scientific
American, vol. 267, no. 1, pp. 66-72, 1992.
[11] Kendall M. and Stuart A., the Advanced Theory
of Statistics. Design and Analysis, and Time
Series, Charles Griffin and Company, 1968.
[12] Kennedy J., Particle Swarm Optimization
in Encyclopedia of Machine Learning, Springer,
2010.
[13] Mahdavi M., Fesanghary M., and Damangir E.,
“An Improved Harmony Search Algorithm For
Solving Optimization Problems,” Applied
Mathematics and Computation, vol. 188, no. 2,
pp. 1567-1579, 2007.
Zeinab Fallahshojaei was born in
Lahijan, Iran, in 1988. He received
the B.Sc. degree in Computer
engineering from the Azad
University of Lahijan, Iran, in 2012,
and the M.Sc degree in computer
engineering from Islamic Azad
University of Buin Zahra, Iran in 2016.
Mehdi Sadeghzadeh is currently,
an assistant professor of the
Department of Computer
Engineering, Mahshahr Branch,
Islamic Azad University. He
Received B.Sc. degree in Computer
engineering from the Amirkabir
University of Technology, Tehran, Iran, and the M.Sc
degree in Computer engineering from Tarbaiat
Modarres University, Tehran, Iran, and Ph.D. degree in
Computer engineering from the Islamic Azad
University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran,
Iran. His current research interests include data mining,
soft computing, image processing and distributed
systems.
Cite this
Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering, Buin Zahra Branch, Islamic Azad University, Buin Zahra, Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran, "Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting", The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT) ,Volume 16, Number 05, pp. 18 - 25, September 2019, doi: .
@ARTICLE{2282,
author={Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering, Buin Zahra Branch, Islamic Azad University, Buin Zahra, Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran},
journal={The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT)},
title={Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting},
volume={16},
number={05},
pages={18 - 25},
doi={},
year={1970}
}
TY - JOUR
TI - Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting
T2 -
SP - 18
EP - 25
AU - Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering
AU - Buin Zahra Branch
AU - Islamic Azad University
AU - Buin Zahra
AU - Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering
AU - Mahshahr Branch
AU - Islamic Azad University
AU - Mahshahr
AU - Iran
DO -
JO - The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT)
IS - 9
SN - 2413-9351
VO - 16
VL - 16
JA -
Y1 - Jan 1970
ER -
PY - 1970
Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering, Buin Zahra Branch, Islamic Azad University, Buin Zahra, Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran, " Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting", The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT) ,Volume 16, Number 05, pp. 18 - 25, September 2019, doi: .
Abstract: One of the most challengeable problems in pattern recognition domain is financial time series forecasting which
aims to exactly estimate the cost value variations of a particular object in future. One of the best well-known financial time
series prediction methods is Neural Network (NN) but it suffers from parameter tuning such as number of neuron in hidden
layer, learning rate and number of periods that should be forecasted. To solve the problem, this paper proposes a new meta-
heuristic-based parameter tuning scheme which is based on Harmony Search (HS). To improve the exploration and
exploitation rates of HS, the control parameters of HS are adapted during the generations. Evaluation of the proposed method
on several financial times series datasets shows the efficiency of the improved HS on parameter setting of NN for time series
prediction. URL: https://iajit.org/paper/2282
@ARTICLE{2282,
author={Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering, Buin Zahra Branch, Islamic Azad University, Buin Zahra, Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran},
journal={The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT)},
title={Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting},
volume={16},
number={05},
pages={18 - 25},
doi={},
year={1970}
,abstract={One of the most challengeable problems in pattern recognition domain is financial time series forecasting which
aims to exactly estimate the cost value variations of a particular object in future. One of the best well-known financial time
series prediction methods is Neural Network (NN) but it suffers from parameter tuning such as number of neuron in hidden
layer, learning rate and number of periods that should be forecasted. To solve the problem, this paper proposes a new meta-
heuristic-based parameter tuning scheme which is based on Harmony Search (HS). To improve the exploration and
exploitation rates of HS, the control parameters of HS are adapted during the generations. Evaluation of the proposed method
on several financial times series datasets shows the efficiency of the improved HS on parameter setting of NN for time series
prediction.},
keywords={Financial times series forecasting, parameter setting, NN, HS, parameter adaptation},
ISSN={2413-9351},
month={Jan}}
TY - JOUR
TI - Parameter Tuning of Neural Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting
T2 -
SP - 18
EP - 25
AU - Zeinab Fallahshojaei1 and Mehdi Sadeghzadeh2 1Department of Computer Engineering
AU - Buin Zahra Branch
AU - Islamic Azad University
AU - Buin Zahra
AU - Iran 2Department of Computer Engineering
AU - Mahshahr Branch
AU - Islamic Azad University
AU - Mahshahr
AU - Iran
DO -
JO - The International Arab Journal of Information Technology (IAJIT)
IS - 9
SN - 2413-9351
VO - 16
VL - 16
JA -
Y1 - Jan 1970
ER -
PY - 1970
AB - One of the most challengeable problems in pattern recognition domain is financial time series forecasting which
aims to exactly estimate the cost value variations of a particular object in future. One of the best well-known financial time
series prediction methods is Neural Network (NN) but it suffers from parameter tuning such as number of neuron in hidden
layer, learning rate and number of periods that should be forecasted. To solve the problem, this paper proposes a new meta-
heuristic-based parameter tuning scheme which is based on Harmony Search (HS). To improve the exploration and
exploitation rates of HS, the control parameters of HS are adapted during the generations. Evaluation of the proposed method
on several financial times series datasets shows the efficiency of the improved HS on parameter setting of NN for time series
prediction.